PonkaBlog

Traffic Flaws

There was a study published recently in The Journal of American Medicine titled “COVID Vaccine Hesitancy and the Risk of a Traffic Crash”.  The study, performed by a group of Canadian researchers, compared traffic accidents experienced by people who had been given a COVID-19 vacksination and those who hadn’t.

I am not making this up.

It seems like there are more useful things to consider, like whether or not being vacksinated increases your chance of dying suddenly and unexpectedly.  But.  OK.  It’s Canada, and they probably have a lot of time on their hands to ponder useless shit.

You may have already heard or seen something about this study.  Most talking heads point to the ridiculousness of believing that a COVID vackseen could impact someone’s ability to drive.  But that’s not what the study was trying to prove.

How do I know?  Because I read their paper.

Their intent was to determine if the psychological differences between vacksinated and unvacksinated people would show a correlation with traffic safety.

According to the “study”, and I use that term loosely, unvacksinated people are nearly twice as likely to have a traffic accident as someone who had been vacksinated up to one month prior. 

The study didn’t try to determine why there was a difference.  It just tried to determine if there is one. 

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If you stop to think about this for a moment, it makes sense.

I think we can all agree that there are indeed psychological differences between willfully vacksinated people and unvacksinated people.  Either the people who voluntarily got jabbed are missing something critical or the rest of us have something extra.  Just look at someone you know who has lined up for multiple booster shots.  See the difference?  I knew you would.

The fact is, willingly vacksinated people just think differently than the rest of us.  Or, maybe they don’t think at all, which actually seems more likely.

After all, it takes a special kind of stupid to willingly allow yourself to be vacksinated with a drug that does more harm than good.  And the study was trying to determine if the same kind of special stupid could be used to predict if someone was more likely to be traffic-accident-prone.

Notice I said “willingly”.  Because this is one of the places where the study goes sideways.  The researchers assumed that there are two types of people, vacksinated and unvacksinated.  But there’s a third kind.  The third kind of people are those who were coerced or otherwise forced to be vacksinated.  The researchers assumed that the psychological make up of the willfully vacksinated and the forced vacksinated are similar. 

Nothing could be further from the truth. 

If anything, there are even more psychological differences between the sheeple and the people who were forced to be vacksinated just to keep their job.  Because not only are the forced-jabbed still reluctant to take an experimental drug, those people are also pissed because they were forced to do so.

And, since Canada has been a big proponent of forced vacksinations, many of the 9 million plus vacksinated people used in the study were folks who got jabbed under duress.  But the accidents they had went in the vacksinated column.  And that artificially inflated the number of accidents experienced by vacksinated people.

If anything, the forced-jabbed people are even more likely to have an accident than unvacksinated people.  Because not only do they possess the same psychology as the unvacksinated, the fact that they’re mad, and preoccupied with whether or not the vackseen is killing them, means they’ll be even more likely to be aggressive or distracted drivers.

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Another thing the study did wrong was that it didn’t have a placebo group.  That is, a group of people who thought they were vacksinated but really weren’t.  And, technically, you’d also need a group of people who thought they weren’t vacksinated but secretly were.

From a purely psychological point of view, placebo groups shouldn’t be important, unless that is, you’re studying whether or not the COVID vackseens cause brain damage.  Which, now that I think about it, would have also been a much more useful study than determining whether or not someone is more likely to run through a yellow light.

So, the punchline isn’t that the study claims that vackseens are making people safer drivers.  The punchline is that this entire study is nothing more than a steaming pile of shit.

It’s also a great example of how to lie with statistics.  The researchers concluded that unvacksinated people had 48% more accidents than their vacksinated counterparts.  That sounds pretty serious.  But, what they didn’t say was that the 48% represented the difference between 530 accidents per million people and 912 accidents per million people. 

In other words, if you look at only vacksinated people over a period of a month, .053 percent of them may have a traffic accident.  But, when you look at unvacksinated people over the same period, that percentage “soars” to .091 percent.

Honestly, why would anybody care?

In an effort to make it seem like their study provides at least a little value, the researchers suggested that perhaps physicians could use this knowledge to tell their unvacksinated patients to drive safe on their way home.

I don’t have a problem with that.  It’s ridiculous, but essentially harmless. 

If they had stopped there, it would have been bad enough.  But they didn’t stop.  They piled on the ridiculousness.  Or is it ridiculosity?

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After spending time and money digging through the data, this is their take-away:

“These data suggest that COVID vaccine hesitancy is associated with significant increased risks of a traffic crash. An awareness of these risks might help to encourage more COVID vaccination.”

Really.

I’ve spent the better part of the last two hours trying to understand how someone could pack so much ignorance into two short sentences.

What the study concluded was that the “vackseen gullible” people drive just a teeny, tiny bit more safely than those of us who don’t want to be jabbed.  And, if people knew that, then maybe they’d be more willing to be injected with an experimental drug.

How stupid do they think we are?

As one of the unvacksinated, I know that the vackseens won’t stop me from getting COVID.  And they won’t stop anyone from spreading COVID to someone else.  I also know that the vackseens cause heart disease, brain damage, blood clots, paralysis and…oh yeah…death.  Can anyone really believe that a miniscule potential difference in traffic safety is going to change my mind?

Oh yeah, I’d have to completely discard everything I know about cause and effect.

I’d have to believe simply allowing myself to be vacksinated makes me a better driver.  And I’d have to believe the reason why I get vacksinated isn’t important.  Which would mean that I’d also have to believe that everyone who got jabbed to simply keep their jobs also somehow, instantly and magically, became better drivers.

But I’m never going to believe any of that.

The psychological makeup of the unvacksinated compels us to think for ourselves and not believe everything we’re told.  It also, apparently, makes us slightly more aggressive drivers.  I, for one, am more than happy to make that trade-off.


Here’s the link to the paper mentioned above:

COVID Vaccine Hesitancy and Risk of a Traffic Crash


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Mike is just an average guy with a lot of opinions. He's a big fan of facts, logic and reason and uses them to try to make sense of the things he sees. His pronoun preference is flerp/flop/floop.